{ "candidate_count": 17, "scenario_count": 20, "covered_count": 20, "all_required_covered": true, "uncovered": [], "by_state": { "A": 4, "Abstain / No Play": 2, "B": 2, "Fade": 1, "Lean": 1, "Review-Only": 7 }, "by_market": { "anytime_td": 1, "passing_completions": 1, "passing_tds": 1, "passing_yards": 2, "receiving_yards": 7, "receptions": 1, "rush_receiving_yards": 1, "rushing_yards": 2, "team_total": 1 }, "by_confidence": { "High": 8, "Low": 3, "Medium": 6 }, "by_inactive_state": { "POST_INACTIVES_CONFIRMED": 15, "POST_INACTIVES_INVALIDATED": 1, "PRE_INACTIVES": 1 }, "hidden_gate_counts": { "anytime_td": { "REVIEW": 1 }, "cold_start_projection": { "REVIEW": 1 }, "correlation": { "FADE": 1 }, "data_completeness": { "PASS": 17 }, "inactive_state": { "ABSTAIN": 1, "PASS": 15, "REVIEW": 1 }, "line_staleness": { "PASS": 17 }, "matchup_sample": { "PASS": 16, "REVIEW": 1 }, "publish_time_line": { "ABSTAIN": 1, "PASS": 13, "REVIEW": 3 }, "role_injury_opportunity": { "ABSTAIN": 1, "PASS": 15, "REVIEW": 1 }, "team_market_scope": { "PASS": 1 }, "weather": { "PASS": 14, "REVIEW": 3 } }, "correlation_groups": [ "2026_01_BAL_CIN_CIN_pass", "2026_01_BUF_MIA_BUF_pass", "2026_01_BUF_MIA_MIA_rush", "2026_01_BUF_MIA_buf_pass", "2026_01_DAL_PHI_dal_pass", "2026_01_DAL_PHI_team_context", "2026_01_KC_LV_LV_pass", "2026_01_KC_LV_kc_pass", "2026_01_KC_LV_kc_rush" ], "scenarios": [ { "key": "a_candidate", "label": "A Candidate", "description": "At least one fully actionable A candidate exists.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Example WR | receiving_yards | Over | A", "Opportunity Boost RB | rushing_yards | Over | A", "Isolated Def Injury WR | receiving_yards | Over | A", "Slot WR | receptions | Over | A" ] }, { "key": "b_candidate", "label": "B Candidate", "description": "At least one B-grade candidate exists (score 70-84, HIGH confidence, no gates).", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "B Grade WR | receiving_yards | Over | B", "Flex RB | rush_receiving_yards | Over | B" ] }, { "key": "review_candidate", "label": "Review Candidate", "description": "Review-Only state is represented.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Next Man Up RB | rushing_yards | Over | Review-Only", "Example QB | passing_yards | Over | Review-Only", "Thin Sample QB | passing_completions | Over | Review-Only", "Baseline Projection WR | receiving_yards | Over | Review-Only", "Contradiction QB | passing_yards | Under | Review-Only", "Goal Line RB | anytime_td | Over | Review-Only", "CIN QB | passing_tds | Over | Review-Only" ] }, { "key": "fade_candidate", "label": "Fade Candidate", "description": "Fade state is represented.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Contradiction WR | receiving_yards | Over | Fade" ] }, { "key": "abstain_candidate", "label": "Abstain Candidate", "description": "Abstain / No Play state is represented.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Inactive WR | receiving_yards | Over | Abstain / No Play", "Big Line Move WR | receiving_yards | Over | Abstain / No Play" ] }, { "key": "team_market_lean", "label": "Team Market Lean", "description": "V1 team markets stay in Lean/Review/No Play territory.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "DAL | team_total | Over | Lean" ] }, { "key": "pre_inactives_gate", "label": "Pre-Inactives Gate", "description": "PRE_INACTIVES prevents A publication.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Next Man Up RB | rushing_yards | Over | Review-Only" ] }, { "key": "post_inactives_confirmed_upgrade", "label": "Post-Inactives Confirmed Upgrade", "description": "A role/opportunity setup can clear review once official inactives confirm the projection.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Example QB | passing_yards | Over | Review-Only", "Opportunity Boost RB | rushing_yards | Over | A" ] }, { "key": "invalidated_inactives", "label": "Invalidated Inactives", "description": "POST_INACTIVES_INVALIDATED forces no-play handling.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Inactive WR | receiving_yards | Over | Abstain / No Play" ] }, { "key": "publish_line_gate", "label": "Publish-Time Line Gate", "description": "Line movement can compress edge and demote a candidate.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Example QB | passing_yards | Over | Review-Only", "Baseline Projection WR | receiving_yards | Over | Review-Only", "Contradiction QB | passing_yards | Under | Review-Only" ] }, { "key": "publish_line_abstain", "label": "Publish-Time Line Abstain", "description": "Large line move past projection removes all edge and forces Abstain.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Big Line Move WR | receiving_yards | Over | Abstain / No Play" ] }, { "key": "correlation_hard_gate", "label": "Correlation Hard Gate", "description": "Contradictory same-game props can hard-fade.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Contradiction WR | receiving_yards | Over | Fade" ] }, { "key": "atd_variance_gate", "label": "Anytime TD Variance", "description": "Anytime TD is treated as high-variance review context.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Goal Line RB | anytime_td | Over | Review-Only" ] }, { "key": "low_confidence_gate", "label": "Low Confidence Gate", "description": "Low confidence cannot produce A/B output.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Inactive WR | receiving_yards | Over | Abstain / No Play", "Thin Sample QB | passing_completions | Over | Review-Only", "Big Line Move WR | receiving_yards | Over | Abstain / No Play" ] }, { "key": "matchup_sample_gate", "label": "Matchup Sample Gate", "description": "Thin recent matchup samples are review-gated.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Thin Sample QB | passing_completions | Over | Review-Only" ] }, { "key": "weather_gate", "label": "Weather Gate", "description": "Weather can create review risk for sensitive markets.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Inactive WR | receiving_yards | Over | Abstain / No Play", "Thin Sample QB | passing_completions | Over | Review-Only", "CIN QB | passing_tds | Over | Review-Only" ] }, { "key": "defensive_injury_boost", "label": "Defensive Injury Boost", "description": "Opponent defensive injuries can improve matchup context.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Next Man Up RB | rushing_yards | Over | Review-Only", "Contradiction WR | receiving_yards | Over | Fade", "Isolated Def Injury WR | receiving_yards | Over | A" ] }, { "key": "isolated_defensive_injury", "label": "Isolated Defensive Injury", "description": "Defensive injury boost present without any other active flags.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Isolated Def Injury WR | receiving_yards | Over | A" ] }, { "key": "next_man_up_clean", "label": "Clean Next-Man-Up Opportunity", "description": "Injury-driven opportunity can support a candidate when role is confirmed and the offense is not broadly downgraded.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Opportunity Boost RB | rushing_yards | Over | A" ] }, { "key": "best_line_outlier_review", "label": "Best-Line Outlier Review", "description": "A stale or outlier best line is surfaced as review risk instead of being treated as pure value.", "covered": true, "evidence": [ "Example QB | passing_yards | Over | Review-Only" ] } ] }